The Atlanta Braves front office might have talked a big game early in 2025, but fans quickly realized the so-called “dry powder” they claimed to have ready for roster upgrades was more of a smokescreen than a spending spree.
The truth is the team wasn’t interested in pushing past the luxury tax line for a third consecutive year — not with a 50% penalty hanging over every dollar past $241 million.
Tax Penalties Have Reset For the Braves
By staying under the threshold this season, Atlanta avoids the steepest repeat offender tax rates and resets its Competitive Balance Tax (CBT) status. In 2026, they’ll face a far less punishing 20% penalty for any spending over the $244 million threshold — and that’s a game-changer.
According to Spotrac’s estimates, the Braves currently have about $204.5 million on the books for next year. But when you strip away player options and non-guaranteed deals, the guaranteed contracts drop that number down to $142 million. Once you factor in minor league salaries, benefits, and pre-arb bonuses, the projected CBT payroll sits at $164.4 million.
That leaves roughly $80 million in breathing room. And with that much flexibility, the excuses are officially over.
Big Needs, Bigger Expectations
The Braves can no longer hide behind the tax threshold. There’s money to spend and plenty of holes to fill. Ha-Seong Kim — if he declines his player option — should be the first call. He fits perfectly into the Braves’ system and addresses an immediate need. Failing to bring him back would be hard to justify.
Then there’s the pitching. Another reliable starting arm is a must, especially given the uncertainty behind the top of the rotation. The bullpen? It needs retooling — full stop. Several arms will likely walk, and the depth just wasn’t there this season.
And don’t forget the DH spot. Marcell Ozuna had his moments, but he took a clear step back in 2025. Kyle Schwarber is one name floating around, but he comes with a heavy price tag. Whether it’s Schwarber or someone else, the front office has options — and the cash — to get it done.
No More Hiding
What this all adds up to is simple: the Braves ducked under the tax threshold in 2025 for a reason. Now that the penalties are reset, there’s zero justification for not making serious upgrades this offseason. Fans tolerated the quiet trade deadlines and budget maneuvering because of the long game. But that patience? It has an expiration date.
The front office played it safe. Now it’s time to play to win.
