Max Fried has declined the Atlanta Braves’ $21.05 million qualifying offer, signaling his intent to explore free agency this offseason. While a return to Atlanta isn’t off the table, the qualifying offer indicates the Braves are preparing for the possibility of losing their star left-hander. If Fried signs elsewhere, the Braves will receive draft-pick compensation in 2025.
Fried, a key figure in Atlanta’s success over the past eight seasons, will leave an impressive legacy if he moves on. In 168 career appearances, including 151 starts, the 30-year-old has posted a 3.07 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and 863 strikeouts.
He’s a two-time All-Star, a three-time Gold Glove winner, and twice received Cy Young Award votes, finishing as the runner-up to Sandy Alcántara in 2022. These accomplishments make him one of the most coveted free agents on the market this winter.
Projections estimate Fried’s value to be a six-year contract worth $136 million, though insiders suggest the final deal could exceed $170 million. Most agree a six-year deal is the likely framework, but the total value could climb given the limited availability of elite starting pitching this offseason.
Braves Young Pitching Staff Can Step Up
Losing Max Fried would be a significant loss for the Braves. They do have the depth to adapt however. Spencer Strider is expected back early in the 2024 season and remains a centerpiece of the rotation. Ian Anderson, a critical contributor to Atlanta’s 2021 World Series run, is recovering from injury and could provide support. Griffin Canning, acquired in the Jorge Soler trade, also offers major-league experience after his time in the Angels’ rotation.
Beyond their current roster, the Braves have promising young arms. A.J. Smith-Shawver and Hurston Waldrep debuted last season and will likely compete for Spring Training rotation spots. The organization’s pitching depth and proven track record of developing talent helps the Braves stay competitive even if Fried signs elsewhere.
As one of the top pitchers available, Max Fried will undoubtedly draw significant interest across the league. His departure would mark a turning point for Atlanta, but the team’s pitching pipeline offers hope for sustained success.
