Major League Baseball is about to take its biggest swing yet at the future of MLB officiating. That’s right, the automated ball-strike system (ABS), or as most folks like to call it, the “robo-ump,” is stepping up to the big leagues.
After years of testing in the minors, spring training will be the first real proving ground for major-league players to see how this tech-driven umpiring holds up under pressure. And let’s just say it’s going to be interesting.
How the Challenge System Works
Don’t panic just yet—there won’t be robots calling every pitch. Instead, MLB is rolling out a hybrid “challenge” system.
Here’s how it works: umpires will still make the majority of calls the old-fashioned way, but each team will get two challenges per game.
If they think the ump missed a call, they can turn to the ABS for a review. And here’s the kicker—if they’re right, they keep the challenge.
If they’re wrong, well, tough luck. More than 60 percent of spring training games will feature the automated zone; some teams will get more exposure than others.
The Arizona Diamondbacks? They’ll see the robo-ump in action 29 times—the most in the league. Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs will only face it seven times.
On average, Cactus League teams will play 21 games with the system, while Grapefruit League teams will see it in 19 contests.
Adjusting to a New Strike Zone
But here’s where things start to get tricky. The ABS isn’t just a plug-and-play solution. Players are going to have to adjust to a different kind of strike zone—one that’s consistent across every pitch count.
You see, human umps tend to shrink the zone on tough counts like 0-2 and expand it when a hitter’s ahead 3-0.
According to MLB’s data, umps typically call a 550-square-inch zone on a 3-0 count but shrink it down to 412 square inches on 0-2. Robo-umps? They stick to a uniform of 443 square inches every time, with no exceptions.
And let’s not forget about the shape of the zone itself. Commissioner Rob Manfred has pointed out that human umps tend to call strikes in an oval-shaped zone, while ABS creates a more rectangular strike zone.
Translation? Pitchers might get more love on the corners, but hitters could benefit from a more forgiving zone at the top and bottom of the plate.
Ensuring Accuracy and Fairness in MLB
To make sure everything is on the level, MLB is taking no chances. Every major-league player in camp has to get their height measured by mid-February. The system relies on player height to set the upper and lower boundaries of the zone.
And in case anyone’s thinking of fudging those numbers, MLB has enlisted the Southwest Research Institute to double-check the measurements using biomechanical analysis. No gaming the system here.
One of the biggest changes players will need to get used to? The robo-ump strike zone calls the upper limit at 53.5 percent of a player’s height and the lower limit at 27 percent. Compare that to human umps, who typically call the upper limit at 55.6 percent and the lower at 24.2 percent.
In plain terms, hitters might see more low strikes get called, while those high pitches that sometimes get the benefit of the doubt might stay balls under ABS.
Is the Human Element in MLB Replaceable?
So, what does all of this mean? Well, one thing’s for sure—spring training just got a whole lot more intriguing.
With robo-umps calling the shots, expect a learning curve, some heated debates, and plenty of discussions about whether the game’s human element is truly irreplaceable.
Read more on this from The Athletic.